Minority Report

Mount Gilead, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morrow County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°91%
US model (GFS)53°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°100%
The average50°40°96%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 66%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°29°46%
US model (GFS)41°34°51%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°94%
German model (ICON)41°33°45%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°95%
The average41°32°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°33°12%
US model (GFS)41°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°27°7%
German model (ICON)41°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)37°24°29%
The average41°29°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°1%
US model (GFS)44°37°5%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°2%
German model (ICON)46°37°1%
Canadian model (GEM)40°27°0%
The average43°33°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.