Minority Report

Mount Holly, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Burlington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°72%
US model (GFS)65°49°62%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°100%
German model (ICON)64°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)67°48°100%
The average65°47°87%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 91%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°90%
US model (GFS)51°36°78%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°96%
German model (ICON)50°39°93%
Canadian model (GEM)50°37°100%
The average50°36°91%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°2%
US model (GFS)45°34°41%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°20%
German model (ICON)47°34°70%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°64%
The average46°35°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°2%
German model (ICON)49°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°31°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.