Minority Report

Mount Olivet, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Robertson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°48%
US model (GFS)53°38°53%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°85%
German model (ICON)54°42°60%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°93%
The average54°40°68%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°43%
US model (GFS)43°33°38%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°90%
German model (ICON)44°36°68%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°81%
The average44°34°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°1%
US model (GFS)46°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°1%
The average45°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°2%
German model (ICON)50°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average47°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.