Minority Report

Mount Vernon, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Posey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 21 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°3%
US model (GFS)55°35°19%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°24%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°14%
The average56°36°15%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°15%
US model (GFS)43°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°2%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°0%
The average45°33°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°27°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°21°0%
The average52°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.