Mount Vernon, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rockcastle County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 41° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 42° | 95% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 43° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 41° | 95% |
| The average | 54° | 41° | 84% |
High 42° Low 34° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 29° | 69% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 60% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 37° | 71% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 72% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 28° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 27° | 13% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 9% |
High 49° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.