Minority Report

Mount Vernon, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)56°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average57°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°25°0%
The average46°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°2%
US model (GFS)51°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)51°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average50°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°10%
US model (GFS)55°35°11%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°6%
German model (ICON)56°34°14%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°25%
The average53°33°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.