Minority Report

Mount Vernon, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°1%
US model (GFS)75°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)74°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°48°0%
The average74°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°41°1%
US model (GFS)63°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°0%
German model (ICON)62°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°0%
The average63°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 17%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°35%
US model (GFS)60°40°7%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°23%
German model (ICON)58°37°21%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°0%
The average59°41°17%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 86%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°86%
US model (GFS)51°41°72%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°96%
German model (ICON)50°42°91%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°86%
The average51°42°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.