Mount Vernon, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Skagit County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 62° Low 52° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 53° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 53° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 50° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 64° | 52° | 11% |
| The average | 62° | 52° | 10% |
High 58° Low 50° Rain 53%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 61° | 50° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 50° | 62% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 50° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 49° | 33% |
| The average | 58° | 50° | 53% |
High 57° Low 50° Rain 64%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 51° | 85% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 48° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 51° | 42% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 50° | 49% |
| The average | 57° | 50° | 64% |
High 57° Low 48° Rain 73%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 45° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 49° | 79% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 47° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 50° | 82% |
| The average | 57° | 48° | 73% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.