Minority Report

Muleshoe, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bailey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)72°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°40°0%
German model (ICON)70°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°34°0%
The average71°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 39°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°45°32%
US model (GFS)68°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)66°41°0%
German model (ICON)64°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)66°33°16%
The average66°39°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 45°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°42°64%
US model (GFS)61°45°70%
European model (ECMWF)56°47°100%
German model (ICON)59°48°83%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°82%
The average58°45°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°0%
US model (GFS)56°43°63%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°20%
German model (ICON)50°42°38%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°38%
The average52°40°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.