Minority Report

Muncie, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delaware County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°64%
US model (GFS)48°40°53%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°75%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°100%
The average48°38°73%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°27%
US model (GFS)41°31°11%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°77%
Canadian model (GEM)41°32°72%
The average42°32°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°1%
US model (GFS)43°31°6%
European model (ECMWF)43°29°2%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average44°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°2%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°0%
The average46°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.