Minority Report

Munfordville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hart County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 35%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°11%
US model (GFS)56°40°19%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°53%
German model (ICON)56°41°60%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°32%
The average56°40°35%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°47%
US model (GFS)44°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°41%
German model (ICON)46°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°24%
The average45°33°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°2%
German model (ICON)50°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°14%
The average49°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average52°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.