Minority Report

Munising, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Alger County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 35°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°59%
US model (GFS)39°34°41%
European model (ECMWF)40°37°100%
German model (ICON)40°36°93%
Canadian model (GEM)40°37°100%
The average40°35°79%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 35°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°35°58%
US model (GFS)37°33°25%
European model (ECMWF)39°36°100%
German model (ICON)40°36°53%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°86%
The average39°35°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 36°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°44%
US model (GFS)39°37°21%
European model (ECMWF)40°37°78%
German model (ICON)41°39°83%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°40%
The average40°36°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°0%
US model (GFS)44°35°9%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°7%
German model (ICON)45°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)42°27°8%
The average44°33°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.