Murfreesboro, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 71° Low 45° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 45° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 71° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 71° | 45° | 1% |
High 58° Low 39° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 59° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 42° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 42° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 42° | 0% |
| The average | 58° | 39° | 0% |
High 55° Low 36° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 36° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 36° | 2% |
High 51° Low 41° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 37° | 59% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 40° | 43% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 43° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 40° | 66% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 44° | 53% |
| The average | 51° | 41° | 59% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.