Murfreesboro, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rutherford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 60° Low 40° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 42° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 42° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 44° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 41° | 33% |
| The average | 60° | 40° | 28% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 29° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 1% |
High 51° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 30° | 0% |
High 54° Low 29° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 28° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 19° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.