Murphy, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cherokee County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 41° Rain 77%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 42° | 81% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 45° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 41° | 77% |
High 44° Low 36° Rain 16%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 26% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 38° | 26% |
| The average | 44° | 36° | 16% |
High 47° Low 28° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 24° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 33° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 21° | 6% |
| The average | 47° | 28° | 3% |
High 53° Low 26° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 28° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 28° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 16° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 26° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.