Minority Report

Murray, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Calloway County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°61%
German model (ICON)59°38°10%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°10%
The average59°38°16%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°29°0%
The average47°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°1%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average54°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.