Minority Report

Muskegon, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Muskegon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 49%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°15%
US model (GFS)45°36°37%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°59%
German model (ICON)47°36°53%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°81%
The average46°36°49%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°23%
US model (GFS)41°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°12%
German model (ICON)42°32°23%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°26%
The average42°33°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°30%
US model (GFS)45°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°5%
The average46°34°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°4%
US model (GFS)48°37°15%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)47°42°10%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°0%
The average47°37°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.