Minority Report

Nantucket, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nantucket County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 48°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°100%
US model (GFS)57°44°100%
European model (ECMWF)54°51°100%
German model (ICON)55°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°46°100%
The average56°48°100%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 45°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°43°76%
US model (GFS)47°44°46%
European model (ECMWF)51°48°91%
German model (ICON)50°47°58%
Canadian model (GEM)49°45°90%
The average50°45°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 43°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°41°22%
US model (GFS)48°44°9%
European model (ECMWF)49°45°28%
German model (ICON)47°44°23%
Canadian model (GEM)47°43°32%
The average48°43°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 43°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°42°8%
US model (GFS)48°43°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°43°4%
German model (ICON)48°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°43°2%
The average49°43°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.