Naples, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Collier County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 78° Low 72° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 71° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 77° | 72° | 42% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 72° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 73° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 71° | 68% |
| The average | 78° | 72° | 63% |
High 76° Low 63° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 79° | 59° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 65° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 64° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 74° | 65° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 75° | 62° | 49% |
| The average | 76° | 63° | 30% |
High 68° Low 55° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 70° | 55° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 57° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 54° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 54° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 54° | 0% |
| The average | 68° | 55° | 0% |
High 76° Low 55° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 64° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 76° | 56° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 75° | 51° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 75° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 53° | 0% |
| The average | 76° | 55° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.