Minority Report

Naranjito Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Naranjito Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 71°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—75°10%
US model (GFS)89°71°19%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°82%
German model (ICON)88°68°10%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°11%
The average88°71°26%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°75°20%
US model (GFS)88°73°23%
European model (ECMWF)84°75°24%
German model (ICON)87°75°0%
Canadian model (GEM)89°76°5%
The average87°75°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 87°   Low 74°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°74°30%
US model (GFS)89°73°21%
European model (ECMWF)83°74°82%
German model (ICON)88°77°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°74°14%
The average87°74°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 88°   Low 71°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service85°73°2%
US model (GFS)88°70°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°8%
German model (ICON)88°69°3%
Canadian model (GEM)91°72°0%
The average88°71°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.