Minority Report

Nashville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brown County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 59%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°29%
US model (GFS)51°38°43%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°83%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°81%
The average52°38°59%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 27%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°25%
US model (GFS)45°34°13%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°38%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°31%
The average45°34°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average48°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.