Nashville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Davidson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 61° Low 40° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 42° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 42° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 43° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 43° | 19% |
| The average | 61° | 40° | 20% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 1% |
High 51° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 31° | 0% |
High 54° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 40° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 21° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.