Minority Report

Natchez, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)72°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°55°0%
German model (ICON)74°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°52°0%
The average73°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°36°0%
US model (GFS)58°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°0%
The average61°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°39°0%
US model (GFS)63°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°0%
German model (ICON)61°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°0%
The average60°38°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°47%
US model (GFS)66°41°42%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°63%
German model (ICON)60°40°44%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°47%
The average62°42°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.