Natchitoches, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Natchitoches Parish.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 77° Low 51° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 44° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 53° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 54° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 53° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 51° | 0% |
High 66° Low 44° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 67° | 40° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 47° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 48° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 41° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 66° | 44° | 0% |
High 61° Low 40° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 61° | 41° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 43° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 35° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 61° | 40° | 2% |
High 58° Low 44° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 62° | 41° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 44° | 66% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 46° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 44° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 43° | 75% |
| The average | 58° | 44° | 75% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.