Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Naugatuck Valley Planning Region.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 50° Low 41° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 98% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 42° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 43° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 41° | 89% |
| The average | 50° | 41° | 93% |
High 43° Low 33° Rain 95%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 90% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 85% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 95% |
High 43° Low 31° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 33° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 6% |
| The average | 43° | 31° | 9% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.