Minority Report

Nelson, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nuckolls County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average48°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average45°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°9%
US model (GFS)48°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°11%
The average47°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°8%
US model (GFS)50°40°9%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°4%
German model (ICON)52°36°9%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°29%
The average50°34°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.