Minority Report

Neosho, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Newton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)59°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°0%
The average59°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average48°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°4%
US model (GFS)54°24°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)54°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average52°28°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°15%
US model (GFS)58°37°17%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°15%
German model (ICON)56°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)50°37°38%
The average54°36°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.