Minority Report

Nephi, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Juab County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)63°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°44°0%
German model (ICON)63°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°30°0%
The average62°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°99%
US model (GFS)61°44°47%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°82%
German model (ICON)60°37°68%
Canadian model (GEM)62°31°71%
The average60°38°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 99%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°99%
US model (GFS)48°34°97%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°100%
German model (ICON)47°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°100%
The average45°34°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average52°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.