Minority Report

Ness City, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ness County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)62°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°35°0%
The average62°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°2%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average54°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°80%
US model (GFS)52°32°55%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°71%
German model (ICON)50°34°42%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°73%
The average50°34°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 72%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°32%
US model (GFS)42°40°78%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°92%
German model (ICON)44°40°68%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°90%
The average44°38°72%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.