Minority Report

Nevada, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Story County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°0%
German model (ICON)42°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°0%
The average43°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°22°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°21°0%
The average40°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°25°0%
German model (ICON)43°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°16°0%
The average43°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°26°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°14°0%
The average47°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.