Minority Report

Nevada, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vernon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)56°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average55°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°0%
The average47°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°1%
US model (GFS)52°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°20°0%
The average50°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°7%
US model (GFS)57°36°6%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°1%
German model (ICON)57°29°10%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°10%
The average54°32°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.