New Bloomfield, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 53° Low 40° Rain 80%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 40° | 66% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 41° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 42° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 40° | 100% |
| The average | 53° | 40° | 80% |
High 41° Low 34° Rain 71%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 31° | 51% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 34° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 83% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 36° | 90% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 71% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 33° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 20% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 9% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 37° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.