Minority Report

New Boston, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bowie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)75°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°51°0%
German model (ICON)73°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°0%
The average74°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°1%
US model (GFS)61°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°0%
German model (ICON)59°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°0%
The average61°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°41°17%
US model (GFS)60°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°12%
German model (ICON)57°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average58°39°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 43°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°41°75%
US model (GFS)52°44°61%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°85%
German model (ICON)47°42°73%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°76%
The average50°43°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.