Minority Report

New Brunswick, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Middlesex County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 94%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°80%
US model (GFS)60°48°88%
European model (ECMWF)60°48°100%
German model (ICON)59°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°100%
The average60°45°94%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°94%
US model (GFS)48°37°96%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°98%
German model (ICON)48°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°100%
The average48°35°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°1%
US model (GFS)44°34°32%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°7%
German model (ICON)46°33°55%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°38%
The average45°33°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.