New Castle, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henry County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 38° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 74 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 51% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 39° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 39° | 67% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 38° | 61% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 71% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 31° | 72% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 50% |
High 44° Low 28° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 29° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 28° | 2% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.