New Castle, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henry County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 40° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 41° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 42° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 41° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 39° | 89% |
| The average | 54° | 40° | 57% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 34° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 77% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 52% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 50% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 0% |
High 50° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.