New Castle, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Craig County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 59° Low 42° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 40° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 43° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 45° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 44° | 38% |
| The average | 59° | 42° | 42% |
High 49° Low 36° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 34° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 32° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 38° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 36° | 2% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 33° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 28° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 1% |
High 49° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.