Minority Report

New City, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rockland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°97%
US model (GFS)55°45°88%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°100%
German model (ICON)53°46°98%
Canadian model (GEM)56°44°100%
The average55°44°97%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 97%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°99%
US model (GFS)45°36°84%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°100%
German model (ICON)46°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°100%
The average45°35°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°0%
US model (GFS)42°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°5%
German model (ICON)45°34°25%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°19%
The average45°33°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°2%
German model (ICON)48°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average47°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.