Minority Report

New Cumberland, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hancock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°28%
US model (GFS)49°40°67%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)52°44°84%
The average50°41°76%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°20%
US model (GFS)42°34°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°4%
German model (ICON)44°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°14%
The average45°35°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 34%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°46%
US model (GFS)43°35°32%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°22%
German model (ICON)45°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°57%
The average44°34°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°17%
US model (GFS)43°36°24%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°41%
German model (ICON)48°38°18%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°57%
The average46°36°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.