Minority Report

New Lexington, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°73%
US model (GFS)50°41°73%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°100%
The average50°40°88%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°24%
US model (GFS)44°33°76%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°34°88%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°89%
The average44°33°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°1%
US model (GFS)43°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°11%
German model (ICON)43°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°25%
The average43°30°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°1%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°2%
German model (ICON)47°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°0%
The average45°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.