Minority Report

New Madrid, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of New Madrid County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)60°40°2%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°41%
German model (ICON)60°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°6%
The average61°40°10%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)49°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°0%
The average48°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average50°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°2%
US model (GFS)54°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average54°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.