Minority Report

New Orleans, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Orleans Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 59°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)76°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°63°0%
German model (ICON)75°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°56°0%
The average75°59°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°47°0%
US model (GFS)69°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°53°0%
German model (ICON)66°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°55°0%
The average67°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°50°0%
US model (GFS)62°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°0%
German model (ICON)60°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°48°0%
The average60°47°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 54°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°53°31%
US model (GFS)68°58°11%
European model (ECMWF)64°52°30%
German model (ICON)64°53°12%
Canadian model (GEM)65°53°0%
The average65°54°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.