Minority Report

New Philadelphia, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tuscarawas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 77%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°38%
US model (GFS)48°41°63%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°85%
The average49°41°77%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 31%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°41%
US model (GFS)43°32°25%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°40%
German model (ICON)44°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°41%
The average44°33°31%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 45%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°41%
US model (GFS)43°34°49%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°51%
German model (ICON)45°32°28%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°58%
The average44°33°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°6%
US model (GFS)46°36°9%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°8%
German model (ICON)49°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°20%
The average46°35°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.