Newark, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Essex County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 59° Low 47° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 84% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 47° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 48° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 49° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 47° | 100% |
| The average | 59° | 47° | 95% |
High 47° Low 36° Rain 96%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 37° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 37° | 89% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 96% |
High 45° Low 35° Rain 23%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 37° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 38° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 41% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 23% |
High 48° Low 37° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 37° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 37° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.