Minority Report

Newark, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Licking County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 94%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°83%
US model (GFS)50°42°86%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°100%
German model (ICON)48°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°100%
The average49°41°94%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°33%
US model (GFS)43°35°56%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°35°63%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°91%
The average44°34°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°3%
US model (GFS)43°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°8%
German model (ICON)43°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°38%
The average43°30°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°2%
US model (GFS)47°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°0%
German model (ICON)48°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average45°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.