Minority Report

Newberry, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Luce County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 32°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 53%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°54%
US model (GFS)39°32°32%
European model (ECMWF)38°33°29%
German model (ICON)38°32°60%
Canadian model (GEM)38°33°90%
The average38°32°53%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 32°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°34°67%
US model (GFS)36°32°40%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°45%
German model (ICON)38°32°70%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°86%
The average37°32°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 33°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°29°11%
US model (GFS)39°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)37°34°20%
German model (ICON)40°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°48%
The average39°33°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 3%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°0%
US model (GFS)42°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°24°14%
The average42°29°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.