Minority Report

Newcastle, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Weston County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)61°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°33°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°0%
The average60°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°0%
US model (GFS)58°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°33°0%
German model (ICON)60°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°29°0%
The average59°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°1%
US model (GFS)50°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°0%
The average50°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°0%
US model (GFS)54°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average54°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.