Minority Report

Newkirk, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°1%
US model (GFS)64°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°0%
German model (ICON)63°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°38°0%
The average63°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°0%
The average52°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°36%
US model (GFS)53°32°9%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°17%
German model (ICON)55°32°19%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°21%
The average54°33°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 59%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°64%
US model (GFS)47°40°68%
European model (ECMWF)47°43°39%
German model (ICON)46°40°50%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°76%
The average46°39°59%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.