Minority Report

Newport County, RI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Newport County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 45°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°100%
US model (GFS)55°44°99%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°96%
German model (ICON)56°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)57°43°99%
The average56°45°98%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 82%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 82%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°37°75%
US model (GFS)45°39°66%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°94%
German model (ICON)48°40°78%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°96%
The average47°39°82%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°37°20%
US model (GFS)46°36°8%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°10%
German model (ICON)46°37°20%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°21%
The average45°36°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°1%
US model (GFS)47°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°2%
German model (ICON)48°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°0%
The average48°37°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.