Minority Report

Newport, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vermillion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 34%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°18%
US model (GFS)47°36°13%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°45%
German model (ICON)50°38°38%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°57%
The average49°36°34%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°21%
US model (GFS)43°36°10%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°18%
German model (ICON)44°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°33%
The average43°34°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°23°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average48°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average50°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.